Names and aliases

transaction cancellation rate, confirmed outcome cancellation share

Formula

cancelled_confirmed_outcomes / confirmed_outcomes × 100%

Metric card

Unit%
Data sourceConfirmation, cancellation, cancellation-initiator and reason, and completion events.
FrequencyBy confirmation cohort after the fulfilment window closes.
Segmentsmicro-market, category, initiator, reason, stage, cohort

Interpretation errors

  • Combining buyer, seller, platform, and technical cancellations.
  • Using created orders instead of confirmed outcomes without disclosure.
  • Treating a recreated transaction as independent without deduplication rules.

Example

Illustrative example: 12 cancellations among 240 confirmed interactions produce 5%. The values do not describe a real platform.

Use

Build a reason tree and show initiator, stage, and rematch possibility. Keep technical failure, voluntary cancellation, and quality or availability cancellation separate.

Anti-example

The total cancellation rate can remain flat while seller cancellations fall and technical failures rise by a similar amount.

Limitations

  • Cancellation mechanisms depend on the platform model.
  • A low rate does not guarantee match relevance or satisfaction.

Related metrics

failed-transaction-rate, fill-rate, transaction-completion-rate, refund-rate

Context sources

These works provide two-sided-market context; the formula above remains an author-defined working definition.

  1. Jean-Charles Rochet, Jean Tirole. Platform Competition in Two-Sided Markets (2003).
  2. Mark Armstrong. Competition in Two-Sided Markets (2006).